Josip Simundza vs Nikita Mashtakov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Mashtakov has a slight advantage in second serve performance, winning 47.11% of points compared to Simundza's 43.67%. Could this higher second serve success rate give Mashtakov an edge? Likely, yes, considering the correlation with match outcomes.
• In return games, Simundza marginally exceeds Mashtakov on opponents' second serve points at 45.82% versus 45.54%, but Mashtakov surpasses Simundza in first serve returns, winning 31.43% of the points to Simundza's 28.3%. Could Mashtakov's stronger first serve return make a decisive difference? Quite possibly.
• Under pressure, Mashtakov has demonstrated better breakpoint saving ability at 51.98%, while Simundza has managed 48.1%, suggesting Mashtakov might be more resilient when tested.
• Mashtakov has a higher match win percentage over the past year, securing victories in 57.41% of matches, compared to Simundza's 52.54% success rate, indicating a slight overall performance edge.
• Surface preferences show Mashtakov performs best on Hard courts with a 58% win rate, while Simundza excels on Clay with a 49% win rate. Is this match on a hard surface, favoring Mashtakov?
• Both players compete predominantly in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, with Mashtakov winning a higher percentage of matches (58.49%) than Simundza (53.57%).
• Mashtakov has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 314.57 versus Simundza's 319.78, suggesting Mashtakov is accustomed to tougher competition.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Simundza may have the upper hand, having won 68% of such sets compared to Mashtakov's 40% success rate.
• Mashtakov's breakpoint conversion rate is superior at 38.36%, compared to Simundza's 32.69%, potentially offering Mashtakov an advantage in critical moments.

Editorial Prediction (June 28, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the upcoming tennis match between Mashtakov and Simundza, several key performance indicators suggest a closely contested matchup. Mashtakov exhibits a stronger second serve and first serve return game, which could provide critical leverage in shaping the match's outcome.

Furthermore, Mashtakov’s ability to save breakpoints and capitalize on conversion opportunities could prove decisive, especially during high-pressure moments. Despite Simundza's advantage in deciding set performance, Mashtakov's higher overall win rate and slight edge on hard court surfaces position him favorably under the current conditions.

In light of these considerations, Mashtakov's consistent performance metrics, including his robustness against higher-ranked competitors and resilience under pressure, likely make him the favorite to win this encounter.